Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.457464 0.524611 0.597408 0.682092 0.777790 0.882477 1.005568
2025-03-23 0.351574 0.441364 0.546914 0.679726 0.841924 1.033088 1.274963
2025-03-30 0.268524 0.366955 0.491718 0.660467 0.881625 1.160339 1.536765
2025-04-06 0.215896 0.319322 0.459884 0.663015 0.946814 1.326613 1.870181
2025-04-13 0.169114 0.269807 0.416039 0.640959 0.974504 1.446334 2.158432
2025-04-20 0.143934 0.246079 0.403620 0.659910 1.060709 1.656143 2.597599
2025-04-27 0.125078 0.228128 0.396211 0.684160 1.156878 1.891065 3.101627
2025-05-04 0.106620 0.206984 0.379705 0.690524 1.224731 2.089712 3.572772
2025-05-11 0.090552 0.186672 0.360805 0.689162 1.278456 2.270600 4.034748
2025-05-18 0.077464 0.169157 0.343604 0.687444 1.330137 2.452368 4.516484
2025-05-25 0.067189 0.155015 0.330060 0.689796 1.388337 2.650241 5.045231
2025-06-01 0.059095 0.143697 0.319936 0.696708 1.454988 2.868965 5.631971
2025-06-08 0.050700 0.130179 0.303462 0.689193 1.494310 3.044620 6.164378
2025-06-15 0.045507 0.122904 0.298897 0.705476 1.582811 3.322191 6.916701
2025-06-22 0.039301 0.111854 0.284144 0.697608 1.620571 3.505364 7.506378
2025-06-29 0.035187 0.105167 0.278187 0.708267 1.698719 3.776829 8.297492
2025-07-06 0.030011 0.094485 0.260829 0.689889 1.710720 3.913753 8.829275
2025-07-13 0.027689 0.091186 0.261132 0.713583 1.820374 4.266677 9.843290
2025-07-20 0.025808 0.088748 0.263222 0.741952 1.944263 4.662330 10.984788
2025-07-27 0.023288 0.083794 0.257774 0.750323 2.021439 4.962552 11.946949
2025-08-03 0.020747 0.078156 0.249441 0.749834 2.076760 5.218778 12.835116
2025-08-10 0.018499 0.072924 0.241313 0.748614 2.129964 5.475076 13.746572
2025-08-17 0.016649 0.068592 0.235045 0.751576 2.194210 5.763354 14.757415